Former First Lady Michelle Obama no longer resides at the White House, but there are many people who think she should head back. This time, though, it would be as President. Betting on politics is not allowed at Virginia sportsbooks – nor with legal, regulated sports betting operators in any other state – but oddsmakers in Canada and Europe have Michelle Obama’s presidential odds relatively low, especially considering she is not an official candidate.
Recent surveys show Michelle Obama is the only Democrat who would be beat Donald Trump in a head-to-head election. One factor she has in her favor is instant name recognition as the wife of former President Barack Obama. Michelle Obama is a known public figure and also a very popular one. She wouldn’t need to spend precious campaign time and money introducing herself to the nation. People know her and her positions.
Representatives for Obama have said she remains an ardent supporter of President Joe Biden, who is seeking the Democratic Party’s nomination. However, as some question whether the 81-year-old can handle the rigors of a campaign and another four years in office, the First Lady is one of a few people considered to be in line for the nomination … if she wants it.
Latest Michelle Obama Odds to be President: November 2024
Below are the latest odds for Michelle Obama to be president. None of the odds you see are legal to bet on on any legal Virginia betting apps.
| 1. Former President Donald Trump | -188 |
| 2. President Joe Biden | +400 |
| 3. Vice President Kamala Harris | +600 |
| 4. Former First Lady Michelle Obama | +1600 |
| 5. California Governor Gavin Newsom | +1800 |
| Odds Last Verified | November 2024 |
Odds posted by bet365.
Is Michelle Obama Running for President in 2024?
Michelle Obama is currently not a candidate for president. The wife of former President Barack Obama has never sought an office, but she became a popular national figure as her husband rose to power nearly 20 years ago.
Who Would Obama Run Against?
Obama’s main opponent would be former President Trump, who has secured enough delegates to be the Republican nominee and is widely expected to be formally nominated when the GOP holds its convention July 15-18 in Milwaukee.
Who Would be Michelle Obama’s Vice President Running Mate?
Obama would have several candidates from which to choose as her vice presidential pick. From a purely political viewpoint, the most likely selection would be either Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer or Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro. Both are Democratic leaders who are popular in their states, and Democrats need to win both states if the party wants to keep hold of the White House.
What Are the Chances Obama Wins the Presidency in November 2024?
Based on the current odds at bet365, Obama has an 8.3% chance of winning the election. Those odds will change drastically once it becomes clearer who will be the Democratic nominee. A reminder: These odds are from the operator’s UK-facing website and not available at the bet365 Virginia sportsbook. There is no legal political betting in the United States.
Where Does Michelle Obama Sit in Presidential Polls?
A Reuters/Ipsos poll taken after the Biden-Trump June 27 debate showed 50% of registered voters surveyed favor her over Trump. Trump holds a slim 43-42 edge over Harris and is tied with Biden at 40%. No other potential Democratic candidate has a lead over the likely Republican nominee.
Breaking Down Michelle Obama’s Approval Rating in 2024
The same Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Obama holding a 55% favorable rating among registered voters, compared to a 42% unfavorable rating. Harris in that same poll has just 40% approval and Biden had only 38%.
Michelle Obama 2024 Democratic Nominee Odds
Because Obama has eschewed calls to run, she remains a decided underdog. Her current odds at bet365 show she has an 8.3% of becoming the nominee. That would likely change immediately if she were to say she’s interested or actively seeking the nomination.
| 1. President Joe Biden | -175 |
| 2. Vice President Kamala Harris | +240 |
| 3. California Governor Gavin Newsom | +1000 |
| 4. Former First Lady Michelle Obama | +1100 |
| 5. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer | +2200 |
| Odds Last Verified | November 2024 |
Latest Key Developments for Michelle Obama’s Presidential Odds
- 📅 July 8, 2024: President Biden sends a letter to Democratic lawmakers on Capitol Hill, telling them he is “firmly committed” to remaining in the 2024 Presidential Election.
- đź“… July 2, 2024: A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Michele Obama as the only Democrat who would be leading former President Donald Trump in a race for the White House.
- 📅 June 27, 2024: On the day of the Biden-Trump debate, The Telegraph in London posts an article detailing why Michelle Obama has not been actively campaigning for Biden. The same piece said Mrs. Obama doesn’t enjoy the campaign process after being in the White House for eight years.
- 📅 March 12, 2024: Biden secures enough delegates through primaries held on “Super Tuesday” to become the party’s presumptive nominee. Those delegates will formally decide on the candidate when the party holds its convention, Aug. 19-22 in Chicago.
- đź“… March 5, 2024: A spokesperson for Michelle Obama tells NBC News that she will not run for president this year.
Looking Ahead: What Are Obama’s Odds to be President in 2028?
Based on her current popularity, Michelle Obama would likely be the favorite to win the Democratic nomination in 2028. However, four years is a long time and a lot can happen over that period to change the dynamics of the race. Still, if Obama were to run, she’d be a tough candidate to beat.
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Michelle Obama Odds FAQs
Michelle Obama, through her spokespeople, has said repeatedly she is not running for election this year. However, she remains on the board at bet365, with +1600 odds of winning in November.
Michelle Obama meets the qualifications to run for president as set out by the U.S. Constitution. She is 60 years of age (the minimum age is 35). She is a natural-born citizen, having been born in Chicago, and she has lived in the U.S. for at least the past 14 years.
A recent poll found Michelle Obama is currently the only person leading former president Donald Trump in a head-to-head race. Her showing is far better than anyone else named in the survey, including President Joe Biden, Vice President Kamala Harris and California Gov. Gavin Newsom.
Michelle Obama remains a very popular public figure, even eight years after she and President Barack Obama left the White House. A YouGov survey taken in November 2023 found 27% of Americans polled considered her work as outstanding and 18% said it was above average. No other former first lady listed in the poll received more than a 19% score for outstanding.
In a word: Yes. Michelle Obama is currently the only Democrat shown in polls to be beating former President Donald Trump. Helping her cause – even if she isn’t running – is her tremendous popularity and familiarity. There’s little unknown about her as compared to other potential candidates, even Vice President Kamala Harris.
Michelle Obama has never run for office. However, she has been in the public spotlight for nearly 20 years thanks to her husband, former President Barack Obama. If she were to run, it would not be the first time that a former First Lady campaigned for President. Hillary Clinton became a U.S. Senator years after her husband, Bill Clinton, served his two terms in the White House. Hillary Clinton ran for president in 2008 and again in 2016.
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Steve is an accomplished, award-winning reporter with more than 20 years of experience covering gaming, sports, politics and business. He has written for the Associated Press, Reuters, The Louisville Courier Journal, The Center Square and numerous other publications. Based in Louisville, Ky., Steve has covered the expansion of sports betting in the U.S. and other gaming matters.
