Washington Commanders Playoff Chances: Commanders Playoff Picture

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Fact Checked by Blake Weishaar

Led by QB Jayden Daniels, the Commanders solidified a playoff spot in the 2024-25 season. Washington has been busy this offseason, improving its roster around Daniels, so we anticipate the Commanders will return to the playoffs in the upcoming season. Below are their playoff chances provided by Virginia sportsbooks.

Current Washington Commanders Playoff Chances for 2025-26

The Commanders' chances to make the playoffs in the upcoming season are not yet available, but we do know other futures odds. 

πŸ‘ Make Playoffs:OTB
πŸ‘Ž Miss Playoffs:OTB
⭐ Win NFC East:34.5% chance (+190)
πŸ”₯ Win NFC:11.1% chance (+800)
πŸ† Win Super Bowl:5.9% chance (+1600)
βœ… Playoff Odds Last Verified:April 5, 2025

What Are the Chances the Commanders Make the Playoffs?

The Commanders have a good chance of making the playoffs based on last season's performance. Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook are not on the board yet. Odds are used to calculate implied probability, which is where our playoff chances come from.

Keep tabs on the list of Commanders injuries this season to stay informed if making a bet on the Commanders is a smart move or not.

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Who Do the Commanders Play Next?

The Commanders' 2025-26 schedule has not been released, but we do know who Washington will play.

Home Opponents

  • Dallas Cowboys
  • New York Giants
  • Philadelphia Eagles
  • Seattle Seahawks
  • Chicago Bears
  • Denver Broncos
  • Las Vegas Raiders
  • Detroit Lions

Away Opponents

  • Dallas Cowboys
  • Philadelphia Eagles
  • New York Giants
  • Green Bay Packers
  • Kansas City Chiefs
  • Los Angeles Chargers
  • Minnesota Vikings
  • Atlanta Falcons
  • Miami Dolphins

Below is the Commanders' 2024-25 schedule and betting lines:

OpponentsBetting LineResult
πŸ“† Week 1 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersWAS +3.5, ML +154Commanders (0-1) lose 37-20
πŸ“† Week 2 vs. New York GiantsWAS -2, ML -125Commanders (1-1) win 21-18
πŸ“† Week 3 at Cincinnati BengalsWAS +7.5, ML +280Commanders (2-1) win 38-33
πŸ“† Week 4 at Arizona CardinalsWAS +3.5, ML +145Commanders (3-1) win 42-14
πŸ“† Week 5 vs. Cleveland BrownsWAS -3.5, ML -170Commanders (4-1) win 34-13
πŸ“† Week 6 at Baltimore RavensWAS +7, ML +250Commanders (4-2) lose 30-23
πŸ“† Week 7 vs. Carolina PanthersWAS -8, ML -410Commanders (5-2) win 40-7
πŸ“† Week 8 vs. Chicago BearsWAS +3, ML +124Commanders (6-2) win 18-15
πŸ“† Week 9 at New York GiantsWAS -4, ML -205Commanders (7-2) win 27-22
πŸ“† Week 10 vs. Pittsburgh SteelersWAS -3, ML -148Commanders (7-3) lose 28-27
πŸ“† Week 11 at Philadelphia EaglesWAS +3.5, ML +145Commanders (7-4) lose 26-18
πŸ“† Week 12 vs. Dallas CowboysWAS -10.5, ML -600Commanders (7-5) lose 34-26
πŸ“† Week 13 vs. Tennessee TitansWAS -5.5, ML -250Commanders (8-5) win 42-19
πŸ“† Week 14 BYE--
πŸ“† Week 15 at New Orleans SaintsWAS -7.5, ML -355Commanders (9-5) win 20-19
πŸ“† Week 16 vs. Philadelphia EaglesWAS +3, ML +136Commanders (10-5) win 36-33
πŸ“† Week 17 vs. Atlanta FalconsWAS -3.5, ML -189Commanders (11-5) win 30-24 (OT)
πŸ“† Week 18 at Dallas CowboysWAS -7, ML -325Commanders (12-5) win 23-19
πŸ“† Playoffs, wild-card round at Tampa Bay BuccaneersWAS +3, ML +145Commanders win 23-20
πŸ“† Playoffs, divisional round at Detroit LinesWAS +9.5, ML +376Commanders win 45-31
πŸ“† Playoffs, NFC Championship at Philadelphia EaglesWAS +6, ML +226Commanders (7-5) lose 55-23

Can the Commanders Clinch a Playoff Spot?

Yes, the Commanders have a chance of clinching a playoff spot. Last season, the Commanders did clinch a wild card spot in Week 17 with their win vs. the Falcons.

Commanders Playoff Picture

NFC Division LeadersRecordDivision 
1. Detroit Lions15-2NFC North
2. Philadelphia Eagles14-3NFC East
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers10-7NFC South
4. Los Angeles Rams10-7NFC West
NFC Wild CardRecordGames From Playoff Spot
5. Minnesota Vikings14-3NFC North
6. Washington Commanders12-5NFC East
7. Green Bay Packers11-6NFC North
NFC EliminatedRecordGames From Playoff Spot
8. Seattle Seahawks10-7NFC West
9. Atlanta Falcons8-9NFC South
10. Arizona Cardinals8-9NFC West
11. Dallas Cowboys7-10NFC East
12. San Francisco 49ers6-11NFC West
13. Chicago Bears5-12NFC North
14. Carolina Panthers5-12NFC South
15. New Orleans Saints5-12NFC South
16. New York Giants3-14NFC East

Where Are the Commanders in the NFC East Divisional Race?

Above and below are the results from the 2024-25 season. We will update this section as the new season progresses. 

The Commanders finished second in the NFC East:

  1. Philadelphia Eagles 14-3
  2. Washington Commanders 12-5
  3. Dallas Cowboys 7-10
  4. New York Giants 3-14

Where Are the Commanders in the NFC Wild Card Race?

The Commanders finished the 2024-25 season with the No. 6 seed. They were eliminated from the playoffs after losing the NFC Championship to the Philadelphia Eagles. Once the 2025 season starts and gets underway, we will have a better idea of what the playoff picture could look like. But it won't be until later in the season when we see who will be in the wild card race. 


Once the 2025-26 schedule is released, we will update this section. Notable Commanders Matchups Last Season:


Commanders RB Brian Robinson

Where to Bet on the Washington Commanders Making the Playoffs

You can bet on the Commanders to make the playoffs at all major sportsbooks in Virginia, Maryland and Washington, D.C. Keep in mind these odds are dynamic, and they can change in an instant. Most major sportsbooks in the U.S., like BetMGM Virginia, Fanatics or Caesars, offer this market. To place a wager on the Commanders to make the playoffs, you must be 21 or older and in a state that has legal sports betting through licensed operators.

Looking at the Commanders Playoff History & Results

The Commanders have a lengthy playoff history, though the 2000s haven't been kind to them. Washington has played in 46 postseason games, going 25-21, with Super Bowl victories in 1982, 1987 and 1991. However, Washington has only won three playoff games in the 2000s, two of them coming from the 2024-25 season.

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Commanders Playoff Chances & Scenarios FAQs

Author

Wes Roesch

Wes is an editor and writer for BetVirginia.com. Based out of the Kansas City area, Wes has covered sports professionally since 2015 with a strong emphasis on sports betting and the NFL, though he's also covered pro wrestling, UFC, college sports and more.

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