College Football Hot Seat: Odds For Next Head Coach Fired

Fact Checked by Nate Hamilton

  • 👀Coaching turnover comes earlier and earlier each college football season. Who is on the hot seat already?
  • 📈Below, a team of college football experts reveal our exclusive odds to be the next head coach fired this season.
  • 🏈Maryland coach Mike Locksley (above) is the new favorite to receive walking papers, but Virginia Tech's Brent Pry is next.

Now that rivalry week has come and gone in college football, a handful of teams are turning their collective attention toward this weekend’s slate of conference championship games, as are Virginia sportsbooks bettors. Scores more await the fate of where they’ll play come bowl season.

Then you have the handful of CFB head coaches that find themselves enmeshed in the sport’s silly season. Several sideline leaders will find themselves out of work before the season kicks off next fall.

To get a sense of which college coaches have the best hypothetical odds of being fired next, BetVirginia.com – your home for the best Virginia sports betting promo codes – broke down the numbers on which Power Four leaders will be out the door before long, with the aforementioned quartet leading the charge this week.

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Next CFB Coach Fired Odds in 2024

Coach

Team

Odds

Percent Chance

Mike Locksley

Maryland

+350

22.2%

Brent Pry

Virginia Tech

+500

16.7%

Hugh Freeze

Auburn

+600

14.3%

Sam Pittman

Arkansas

+800

11.1%

Mark Stoops

Kentucky

+800

11.1%

Scott Satterfield

Cincinnati

+800

11.1%

Lincoln Riley

USC

+1200

7.7%

The Field

-

+700

12.5%

Only includes the Power 4 conferences.

Odds provided by BetVirginia.com and not available at Virginia betting apps.

Among the leading candidates to hit the firing line this offseason are Mike Locksley of Maryland, Brent Pry of Virginia Tech and Auburn’s Hugh Freeze, while Sam Pittman of Arkansas and Kentucky’s Mark Stoops are also near the top of our list entering conference championship week.

Check out our Virginia Tech Hokies football odds as the team awaits its bowl destination, to be announced after this weekend’s conference title games.

Our leader in the CFB firing clubhouse is Locksley, who is 33-41 (.446) at Maryland. He had three seasons at or above .500 before bottoming out at 4-8 this season in the Big Ten, with the 54-year-old Washington D.C. native sitting at +350 on our board to get axed first.

Locksley signed a four-year contract extension that pays him at least $5.5 million per season in 2023, making it expensive for the Terrapins to move on from him.

Is Brent Pry In Trouble At Virginia Tech?

Pry has gone 16-20 (.444) in Blacksburg since arriving in 2022, with a 13-12 mark over the last two seasons at the ACC program. The Hokies are 6-6 overall, 4-4 in the ACC, the definition of average.

Ambitions are higher than that for a program that has won four conference championships since 2000.

Pry (+500) sits ahead of Freeze, who clocks in at +600 to get fired on The Plains after Auburn’s abysmal 5-7 season. It’s the second losing season in three years at the SEC program and has led many at the Alabama institution to start asking questions about the former Ole Miss and Liberty head coach’s future with the Tigers.

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Others Who Might Be Asked To Leave

Pittman (+800) has been firmly on the hot seat all fall long in Fayetteville, leading Arkansas to a 6-6 season (3-5 SEC) after going 4-8 in 2023.

Cincinnati’s Scott Satterfield has struggled in the Queen City, going 8-16 in two seasons with the Bearcats after bailing out of Louisville. Cincy finished this season 5-7 overall and 3-6 in the Big 12, a steep fall for a program that was in the four-team College Football Playoff in the 2021 season.

The story was much the same for USC’s Lincoln Riley, who clocks in at +1200 after plummeting from the sport’s penthouse of respect (going 55-10 at Oklahoma and 19-8 in his first two seasons at USC) to the outhouse of mediocrity in 2024. The Trojans have turned in a 6-6 campaign, going 4-5 in their debut Big Ten season, after peaking at No. 11 in the AP top 25 poll this season. USC had +1200 preseason odds at BetMGM Virginia Sportsbook to win the league title.

One way or another, you know that there will be turnover at the upper level of college football’s ecosystem. We feel these coaches are the foremost candidates to be axed next in 2024.

USA Today photo by Tommy Gilligan

Author

Christopher Boan

Christopher Boan has been covering sports and sports betting for more than seven years, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

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