Washington Commanders Playoff Chances: Commanders Playoff Picture

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Fact Checked by Blake Weishaar

Led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, the Commanders solidified a playoff spot in the 2024-25 season. Washington has been busy this offseason, improving its roster around Daniels, so we anticipate the Commanders will return to the playoffs in the upcoming season. Before the start of the season, the Commanders' odds to make the playoffs are -160 on DraftKings. 

Below are their playoff chances provided by Virginia sportsbooks.

Current Washington Commanders Playoff Chances for 2025-26

The Commanders have a good chance of making the playoffs in the upcoming season and have the second-best odds to win the NFC East.

👍 Make Playoffs:61.5% chance (-160)
👎 Miss Playoffs:43.5% chance (+130)
⭐ Win NFC East:32.8% chance (+205)
🔥 Win NFC:10% chance (+900)
🏆 Win Super Bowl:5.3% chance (+1800)
✅ Playoff Odds Last Verified:May 30, 2025

What Are the Chances the Commanders Make the Playoffs?

The Commanders have a 61.6% chance of making the playoffs, based on odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Odds are used to calculate implied probability, which is where our playoff chances come from.

Keep tabs on the list of Commanders injuries this season to stay informed if making a bet on the Commanders is a smart move or not.

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Who Do the Commanders Play Next?

The Commanders kick off the 2025-26 season at home against the New York Giants.

Commanders ScheduleLineResult
Week 1 vs. New York GiantsWAS -7.5, ML -340TBD
Week 2 at Green Bay PackersWAS +1.5, ML +100TBD
Week 3 vs. Las Vegas RaidersWAS -7.5, ML -340TBD
Week 4 at Atlanta FalconsWAS -3.5, ML -175TBD
Week 5 at Los Angeles ChargersWAS +1.5, ML +102TBD
Week 6 vs. Chicago BearsWAS -4.5, ML -205TBD
Week 7 at Dallas CowboysWAS -2.5, ML -130TBD
Week 8 at Kansas City ChiefsWAS +3.5, ML +160TBD
Week 9 vs. Seattle SeahawksWAS -5.5, ML -225TBD
Week 10 vs. Detroit LionsWAS -1.5, ML -122TBD
Week 11 at Miami DolphinsWAS -4.5, ML -205TBD
Week 12 BYE--
Week 13 vs. Denver BroncosWAS -2.5, ML -130TBD
Week 14 at Minnesota VikingsWAS -1.5, ML -120TBD
Week 15 at New York GiantsWAS -4.5, ML -198TBD
Week 16 vs. Philadelphia EaglesWAS +1.5, ML +102TBD
Week 17 vs. Dallas CowboysWAS -5.5, ML -218TBD
Week 18 at Philadelphia EaglesWAS +4.5, ML +164TBD

Can the Commanders Clinch a Playoff Spot?

Yes, the Commanders have a chance of clinching a playoff spot. The season has not started yet, so every NFL team has a chance, and things look promising for Washington after they clinched a wild-card spot last season. 

Commanders Playoff Picture

Below are the results from the 2024-25 season. We will update this section as the new season progresses. 

NFC Division LeadersRecordDivision 
1. Detroit Lions15-2NFC North
2. Philadelphia Eagles14-3NFC East
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers10-7NFC South
4. Los Angeles Rams10-7NFC West
NFC Wild CardRecordGames From Playoff Spot
5. Minnesota Vikings14-3NFC North
6. Washington Commanders12-5NFC East
7. Green Bay Packers11-6NFC North
NFC EliminatedRecordGames From Playoff Spot
8. Seattle Seahawks10-7NFC West
9. Atlanta Falcons8-9NFC South
10. Arizona Cardinals8-9NFC West
11. Dallas Cowboys7-10NFC East
12. San Francisco 49ers6-11NFC West
13. Chicago Bears5-12NFC North
14. Carolina Panthers5-12NFC South
15. New Orleans Saints5-12NFC South
16. New York Giants3-14NFC East

Where Are the Commanders in the NFC East Divisional Race?

The Commanders finished second in the NFC East in 2024. Ahead of the 2025 season, Washington has the second-best odds to win the division.

  1. Philadelphia Eagles -140
  2. Washington Commanders +205
  3. Dallas Cowboys +700
  4. New York Giants +2000

Where Are the Commanders in the NFC Wild Card Race?

The Commanders finished the 2024-25 season with the No. 6 seed. They were eliminated from the playoffs after losing the NFC Championship to the Philadelphia Eagles. Once the 2025 season starts and gets underway, we will have a better idea of what the playoff picture could look like. But it won't be until later in the season when we see who will be in the wild card race. 


The Commanders will play five primetime games this season. Notable Commanders Matchups Last Season:


Commanders RB Brian Robinson

Where to Bet on the Washington Commanders Making the Playoffs

You can bet on the Commanders to make the playoffs at all major sportsbooks in Virginia, Maryland, and Washington, D.C. Keep in mind these odds are dynamic, and they can change in an instant. Most major sportsbooks in the U.S., like BetMGM Virginia, Fanatics, or Caesars, offer this market. To place a wager on the Commanders to make the playoffs, you must be 21 or older and in a state that has legal sports betting through licensed operators.

Looking at the Commanders Playoff History & Results

The Commanders have a lengthy playoff history, though the 2000s haven't been kind to them. Washington has played in 46 postseason games, going 25-21, with Super Bowl victories in 1982, 1987, and 1991. However, Washington has only won three playoff games in the 2000s, two of them coming from the 2024-25 season.

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Commanders Playoff Chances & Scenarios FAQs

Author

Wes Roesch

Wes is an editor and writer for BetVirginia.com. Based out of the Kansas City area, Wes has covered sports professionally since 2015 with a strong emphasis on sports betting and the NFL, though he's also covered pro wrestling, UFC, college sports and more.

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